What if your social feed didn’t just share rants and raves, but actually allowed you to place real crypto bets on whether the next election flips or your team wins the Super Bowl? That’s no longer “if” on November 5, 2025; it’s happening on Truth Social.
The platform’s new “Truth Predict” launch, powered by Crypto.com, has propelled “Truth Social” queries to the stratosphere, thus blending free speech with high-stakes forecasting. A rebel against Big Tech at its inception, it is now a crypto playground.
As we unpack the story of how this Trump-supported app went from being a haven for the fringe to becoming a finance frontier, and why it’s everyone’s feed fixation nowadays, please stay with us.
Truth Social’s Fiery Origin Story
Launched on October 21, 2021, Truth Social emerged as Donald Trump’s digital platform after Twitter and Facebook suspended him following the January 6 incident. Backed by a SPAC merger valuing it at $875 million, it promised unfiltered conservative voices in a “cancel culture” world.
- Launch drama: Beta hit iOS in February 2022, amid server crashes caused by eager sign-ups.
- User surge: Peaked at 2.1 million daily activities in 2022, though it dipped to under 500,000 by mid-2024.
- Monetization push: Went public as DJT stock in March 2024, riding meme-fueled highs to $8 billion market cap.
From a simple feed, it spawned Truth+ streaming and Truth, Fi fintech, setting the stage for bolder bets.
The Truth Predict Revolution Unfolds
Announced on October 28, 2025, Truth Predict integrates prediction markets directly into the app, where users trade contracts on elections, sports, Fed rates, and commodities such as gold. Beta testing began last week, with a full U.S. rollout scheduled for November 22.
How It Works Seamlessly
- Crypto fuel: Convert in-app “Truth gems” (earned via posts and streams) to Crypto.com’s CRO token for bets.
- Event variety: Wager on NFL upsets, inflation spikes, or Oscar winners, real-time prices update in-feed.
- Social twist: Discuss picks in threads, turning debates into dollars.
Devin Nunes, TMTG CEO, calls it “democratizing information,” letting crowdsourced smarts challenge “global elites.”
Crypto.com Ties Fuel the Fire
This isn’t a solo act, it’s a powerhouse pact. Crypto.com, fresh off an $11 million donation from Trump and the closure of an SEC probe, powers the backend via its CFTC-registered exchange.
- Deal depth: Builds on a multibillion-dollar Cronos token acquisition earlier in 2025, spiking CRO 20%.
- Regulatory edge: CFTC’s May 2025 Kalshi win and Polymarket probe drop eased paths for compliant trading.
- Global ambition: U.S. first, then worldwide. Nevada operations have paused amid gambling lawsuits, but momentum is building.
Crypto.com’s Hollywood and gaming tie-ins hint at broader entertainment bets, amplifying Truth Social’s reach.
Trump Family’s Prediction Power Play
The Trumps aren’t just sitting on the sidelines; they are actively manipulating the situation to their advantage. Donald Trump Jr. is providing guidance to Kalshi and PolymExchange, as his 1789 Capital has been the source of their sector’s monetary inflow. Polymarket’s $2 billion wager on Intercontinental Exchange is a loud signal of the sector’s attractiveness to Wall Street.
Family Footprint Expands
- Advisory roles: Don Jr. shapes strategies at top platforms, leveraging Badmin’s VC expertise and political influence.
- Election echo: 2024 bets heavily favor Trump; now Truth Predict eyes 2026 midterms.
- RegPolymarket’s: Trump admin’s lenient stance, dropping CFTC appeals, unlocked billions in volumes.
Weekly trades top $2 billion industry-wide, with Polymarket’s $112 million U.S. exchange buy signaling a comeback clash.
Why Truth Social Trends Like Wildfire Now
As of November 5, 2025, “Truth Social” Google Trends spiked 4,500%, outpacing even election night peaks. The Predict launch coincides with crypto’s bull run and post-election fervor, resulting in 1.2 million new downloads last week.
- Crypto crossover: Blurs social and speculation, luring President’s monthly users” to gamble on” feeds.
- Polymarket rivalry: Direct competitor to the election oracle that nailed 2024 odds.
- Trump magnetism: President’s posts tease “winning big”, DJT stock jumped 15% on news.
- Media storm: From Wired deep dives to Reuters scoops, coverage spotlights regulatory risks and innovation.
Yet Hurdles loom: State gambling laws snag sports bets; an industry’s scrutiny could chill crypto flows.
Navigating Risks in This High-Stakes Arena
Truth Predict’s compliant rails dodge past pitfalls, but the sector’s wild west vibe persists. Users face volatility, CRO dipped 5% on launch hype, plus addiction concerns in a social wrapper.
Smart Plays for Newcomers
- Start small: Use gems for low-risk trials; track markets via app dashboards.
- Legal lowdown: CFTC oversight ensures fairness, but checks state rules on event contracts.
- Growth guardrails: Volumes hit $2B weekly, but lawsuitSocial’s predictions test limits.
TMTG eyes AWS-like cloud ambitions, hinting at an ecosystem empire-building strategy.
Future Bets on Truth Social’s Trajectory
If the Truth Predict function is accurate, we should see viral moments, such as America’s Oscar winners crowdsourced by the publisher’s accurate predictions of the Federal Reserve calls. Such a success could significantly increase the platform’s user base to 1 billion, putting it on par with Gab or Parler, while also monetizing MAGA loyalty. A failure? A regulatory backlash might put an end to the progress.
In the highly polarized digital duel of America, Truth Social is not only posting but also predicting our next plot twist. Will it be a victory for the wisdom of the crowd, or will it fail amid controversy? A single wager at a time, the company is changing the game, ensuring that we keep scrolling, placing our bets, and speculating.
